1.Macro Scenario Analysis for Investments
Scatter plot and table · 2026
A Macro Investment Analyst automated the assembly of fragmented datasets into a unified, interactive view to accelerate scenario delivery. The dashboard displays a probability-weighted scenario framework combining a scatter plot and a summary table. It plots the VIX level against Forward 6M S&P 500 returns, color-coded into Bull, Base, and Bear regimes with thresholds at VIX levels of 20 and 25. The Bull regime shows a count of 834, a 58.4% probability, an average 6M return of 10.4%, an average VIX of 16.1, and an average Fed Funds rate of 4.01%. The Base regime has a 34.0% probability and 1.1% average return, while the Bear regime shows a 7.6% probability and -13.2% average return.
What it shows:
How to consolidate macro indicators to model investment regimes.




